The whole record, or nothing.

EV Trading publishes sports betting selections for AFL, NRL and NBL — totals and margins only. Every tip is recorded with the price we advised, the bookmaker that offered it, and where the line closed. The ledger is public and downloadable. It starts the day we launch, and nothing ever comes out of it.

See the record How the model works

Cumulative P&L, unitsSAMPLE DATA — NOT A RECORD

SAMPLE DATA — NOT A RECORD

What a season of this looks like — sample data, not our record. The real one begins at launch and replaces every number below.

Tips settled: 377
Profit on turnover: +4.2%
Average CLV: +0.82%
Beat the close: 56.8%
Max drawdown: -9.2u
t-statistic: 0.87

Units at level stakes · 1u = 1% of bank

A t-statistic under about 2 means a record this size can't yet be told apart from luck. Most tipping sites won't print that sentence. It stays on this page even when the number is ours.

Subscription

What subscribers receive

About ten tips in a normal week across AFL, NRL and NBL, sent to Discord the moment the model flags a price worth taking. Quiet weeks happen; we don't invent tips to fill them.
Every tip names the market, the line, the price, the bookmaker offering it, and the stake in units. No screenshots, no riddles.
Settlement within a day, against the final score, by rules published on the record page.
The ledger updated with closing odds, so you can check whether we beat the market — not just whether we got lucky.

Position

Three things we do that paid tipping services don't

A hand writing entries in an old expense ledger

We publish everything.

The full ledger — wins, losses, drawdowns — downloadable as a CSV. Not a highlights reel. If we have a bad month you'll see it before we mention it.

A blue glass tower photographed from the street, reaching into clear sky

We take no bookmaker money.

No affiliate links, no sign-up bonuses, no referral codes. A service paid by bookmakers profits when you lose. Our only income is the subscription, so our only incentive is the record.

A price chart in pale blue on a dark monitor

We grade ourselves against the close.

Closing line value is the one measure a tipster can't fake in hindsight, because the market wrote it down. Whether each tip beat the close is a column in the ledger, not a claim in our copy.

Measurement

Graded against the close, tip by tip

SAMPLE DATA — NOT A RECORD

The line at 50% is what no skill looks like. This sample shows the format; whether the live ledger holds a gap above that line is exactly what it exists to reveal.

Rolling share of tips beating the close (60-tip window)

$100 a month. First 7 days free.

Card required at signup; charged on day 8 unless you cancel, and cancelling is two clicks in the billing portal. First charge refunded on request, no questions asked.

Pricing and trial details

This is sports betting. Losing weeks are normal, losing months happen, and no model changes that. If betting stops being entertainment, stop — see our responsible gambling page.